TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 11:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Fondriest and Dmytro Kovkin in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Fondriest' if Matteo Fondriest advances against Dmytro Kovkin. This market will resolve to 'Dmytro Kovkin' if Dmytro Kovkin advances against Matteo Fondriest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Fondriest and Dmytro Kovkin in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Fondriest' if Matteo Fondriest advances against Dmytro Kovkin. This market will resolve to 'Dmytro Kovkin' if Dmytro Kovkin advances against Matteo Fondriest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates the implied probability of a specific outcome, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the result.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match, determining which player won. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament dynamics, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 4, 2026.