TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 12:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Karim Sherif Abdellatif Abdo and Pijus Vaitiekunas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karim Sherif Abdellatif Abdo' if Karim Sherif Abdellatif Abdo advances against Pijus Vaitiekunas. This market will resolve to 'Pijus Vaitiekunas' if Pijus Vaitiekunas advances against Karim Sherif Abdellatif Abdo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karim Sherif Abdellatif Abdo and Pijus Vaitiekunas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karim Sherif Abdellatif Abdo' if Karim Sherif Abdellatif Abdo advances against Pijus Vaitiekunas. This market will resolve to 'Pijus Vaitiekunas' if Pijus Vaitiekunas advances against Karim Sherif Abdellatif Abdo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. Conversely, selling shares drives the price down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the aggregated wisdom of the crowd, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Karim Sherif Abdellatif Abdo and Pijus Vaitiekunas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh tournament. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Updates on weather forecasts in Sharm ElSheikh, which could affect the match schedule or playing surface, are also relevant. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence the price, especially with lower volume.