TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 6:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Henry De Keulenaer and Pijus Vaitiekunas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henry De Keulenaer' if Henry De Keulenaer advances against Pijus Vaitiekunas. This market will resolve to 'Pijus Vaitiekunas' if Pijus Vaitiekunas advances against Henry De Keulenaer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Henry De Keulenaer and Pijus Vaitiekunas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henry De Keulenaer' if Henry De Keulenaer advances against Pijus Vaitiekunas. This market will resolve to 'Pijus Vaitiekunas' if Pijus Vaitiekunas advances against Henry De Keulenaer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment among traders. The current volume of $156 demonstrates the level of interest in this particular event.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match, determining which player emerged victorious. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final odds at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The outcome will be determined by the official match results.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a change in expectations. Monitoring news sources and observing trading activity on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market leading up to the Oct 5, 2026 resolution.