TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 3:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Edoardo Zanada and Finn Reilly in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edoardo Zanada' if Edoardo Zanada advances against Finn Reilly. This market will resolve to 'Finn Reilly' if Finn Reilly advances against Edoardo Zanada. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Edoardo Zanada and Finn Reilly in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edoardo Zanada' if Edoardo Zanada advances against Finn Reilly. This market will resolve to 'Finn Reilly' if Finn Reilly advances against Edoardo Zanada. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, allows traders to express their own informed opinions, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information available to each group or varying levels of expertise among participants. It’s common to see prediction markets move closer to the eventual result as more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Edoardo Zanada and Finn Reilly. The platform will verify the match result against widely available and trustworthy sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also shift expectations. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could create momentum and cause the price to move. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and updated rankings could also contribute to shifts in the market’s implied probabilities.