TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 3:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Artem Svetlov and Vasyl Makarenko in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Artem Svetlov' if Artem Svetlov advances against Vasyl Makarenko. This market will resolve to 'Vasyl Makarenko' if Vasyl Makarenko advances against Artem Svetlov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Artem Svetlov and Vasyl Makarenko in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Artem Svetlov' if Artem Svetlov advances against Vasyl Makarenko. This market will resolve to 'Vasyl Makarenko' if Vasyl Makarenko advances against Artem Svetlov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Svetlov vs Makarenko match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's aggregate assessment, constantly adjusting based on new information and trader sentiment. This creates a dynamic pricing system where the market itself determines the odds.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Artem Svetlov and Vasyl Makarenko. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders will then be paid out according to their holdings in the winning outcome shares.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from experts could prompt traders to reassess their positions. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even pre-match interviews could also impact the market. Significant volume spikes, indicating strong conviction from traders, are another signal to watch closely as we approach the Oct 4, 2026 resolution of the Svetlov vs Makarenko match.