TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.7b
24H VOL:
$159,681,979
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,782,432,967
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,765,039,592
503,073
Markets across
37,360
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,848
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan McCormick and Victor Bini in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tristan McCormick' if Tristan McCormick advances against Victor Bini. This market will resolve to 'Victor Bini' if Victor Bini advances against Tristan McCormick. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan McCormick and Victor Bini in the M15 Quito, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tristan McCormick' if Tristan McCormick advances against Victor Bini. This market will resolve to 'Victor Bini' if Victor Bini advances against Tristan McCormick. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each type of market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially offering a more efficient forecast of the event’s result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and insights from those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tristan McCormick vs Victor Bini match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome wins and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimes, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators and experts might also impact trading activity, as traders incorporate new information into their predictions. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market movements.