TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 7:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mateus Alves and Victor Pagotto in the M15 Porto Velho, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mateus Alves' if Mateus Alves advances against Victor Pagotto. This market will resolve to 'Victor Pagotto' if Victor Pagotto advances against Mateus Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mateus Alves and Victor Pagotto in the M15 Porto Velho, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mateus Alves' if Mateus Alves advances against Victor Pagotto. This market will resolve to 'Victor Pagotto' if Victor Pagotto advances against Mateus Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants or the influence of public perception. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing insights about the competitors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price movements indicate how the crowd is evaluating the potential for either Mateus Alves or Victor Pagotto to win.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Porto Velho match between Mateus Alves and Victor Pagotto. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result as that will be the basis for settlement of this market.
Several signals could influence this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also be catalysts. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also play a role, influencing trading activity. A strong performance by either player in a preceding match, or a notable change in their ranking, could also move the market.