TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 11:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mateus Alves and Gabriel Schenekenberg in the M15 Porto Velho, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mateus Alves' if Mateus Alves advances against Gabriel Schenekenberg. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Schenekenberg' if Gabriel Schenekenberg advances against Mateus Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mateus Alves and Gabriel Schenekenberg in the M15 Porto Velho, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mateus Alves' if Mateus Alves advances against Gabriel Schenekenberg. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Schenekenberg' if Gabriel Schenekenberg advances against Mateus Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies for the Alves vs Schenekenberg match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Alves vs Schenekenberg match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and potentially outperform traditional forecasting methods.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Mateus Alves and Gabriel Schenekenberg, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome is settled as the winner of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match schedules could influence trader sentiment. Public announcements about player form or strategic adjustments could also shift the odds. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate a change in expectations. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Alves vs Schenekenberg match on Sep 11, 2026.