TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 4:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thantub Suksumrarn and Sasikumar Mukund in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thantub Suksumrarn' if Thantub Suksumrarn advances against Sasikumar Mukund. This market will resolve to 'Sasikumar Mukund' if Sasikumar Mukund advances against Thantub Suksumrarn. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thantub Suksumrarn and Sasikumar Mukund in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thantub Suksumrarn' if Thantub Suksumrarn advances against Sasikumar Mukund. This market will resolve to 'Sasikumar Mukund' if Sasikumar Mukund advances against Thantub Suksumrarn. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result, the prediction market may show a different implied probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life, as information is incorporated and traders refine their estimates.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Thantub vs Mukund match. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price can fluctuate significantly based on news, analysis, and even momentum, making it a dynamic representation of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Thantub vs Mukund match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. For example, reports of Thantub or Mukund experiencing a physical setback would likely impact the odds. Additionally, expert analysis, updated rankings, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could all contribute to price movement. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also be a catalyst.