TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 2:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Imai and Tanapatt Nirundorn in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Imai' if Shintaro Imai advances against Tanapatt Nirundorn. This market will resolve to 'Tanapatt Nirundorn' if Tanapatt Nirundorn advances against Shintaro Imai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Imai and Tanapatt Nirundorn in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Imai' if Shintaro Imai advances against Tanapatt Nirundorn. This market will resolve to 'Tanapatt Nirundorn' if Tanapatt Nirundorn advances against Shintaro Imai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If prediction market participants have access to information that sportsbooks haven’t fully priced in, we may see discrepancies. It’s common to observe that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional odds, especially closer to the event date, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and adapt quickly to new data.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; if more traders believe Shintaro Imai will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Nonthaburi match between Shintaro Imai and Tanapatt Nirundorn. Any official confirmation of the match result will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the event’s outcome will be determined and reported.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Shintaro Imai or Tanapatt Nirundorn could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion, reflected in social media or sports news, can impact trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations.