TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 1:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Imai and Pawit Sornlaksup in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Imai' if Shintaro Imai advances against Pawit Sornlaksup. This market will resolve to 'Pawit Sornlaksup' if Pawit Sornlaksup advances against Shintaro Imai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Imai and Pawit Sornlaksup in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Imai' if Shintaro Imai advances against Pawit Sornlaksup. This market will resolve to 'Pawit Sornlaksup' if Pawit Sornlaksup advances against Shintaro Imai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one is mispriced. It's important to note that prediction markets allow for more nuanced probabilities than simple win/loss scenarios, and this can lead to differences in how outcomes are assessed.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the Imai vs Sornlaksup match.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Nonthaburi match between Shintaro Imai and Pawit Sornlaksup. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could shift probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and cause the odds to move. Public opinion, expert analysis, and even social media buzz surrounding the Imai vs Sornlaksup match could all contribute to price fluctuations before resolution.