TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 12:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Peter Bertran and Markus Malaszszak in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Peter Bertran' if Peter Bertran advances against Markus Malaszszak. This market will resolve to 'Markus Malaszszak' if Markus Malaszszak advances against Peter Bertran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Peter Bertran and Markus Malaszszak in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Peter Bertran' if Peter Bertran advances against Markus Malaszszak. This market will resolve to 'Markus Malaszszak' if Markus Malaszszak advances against Peter Bertran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual predictions and the willingness to take opposing positions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each side assesses the probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in niche events like this one.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Nonthaburi match between Peter Bertran and Markus Malaszszak. The platform will verify the outcome against established tennis results databases and reporting to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their holdings in the winning outcome's shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements leading up to Sep 18, 2026.