TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 1:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between ori Hillel and Thanapet Chanta in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'ori Hillel' if ori Hillel advances against Thanapet Chanta. This market will resolve to 'Thanapet Chanta' if Thanapet Chanta advances against ori Hillel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between ori Hillel and Thanapet Chanta in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'ori Hillel' if ori Hillel advances against Thanapet Chanta. This market will resolve to 'Thanapet Chanta' if Thanapet Chanta advances against ori Hillel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market potentially offering more favorable odds if there's strong disagreement between the 'wisdom of the crowd' on Polymarket and the sportsbook's initial assessment. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different information and methodologies, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders buy shares representing a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the ori Hillel vs Thanapet Chanta match, as reported by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result and distribute funds accordingly to those who correctly predicted the winner.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as weather forecasts or venue changes, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in perceived probabilities, potentially causing a rapid shift in the market price. Monitoring these signals could provide valuable insights into potential market movements.