TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 3:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lleyton Richards and Pawit Sornlaksup in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lleyton Richards' if Lleyton Richards advances against Pawit Sornlaksup. This market will resolve to 'Pawit Sornlaksup' if Pawit Sornlaksup advances against Lleyton Richards. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lleyton Richards and Pawit Sornlaksup in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lleyton Richards' if Lleyton Richards advances against Pawit Sornlaksup. This market will resolve to 'Pawit Sornlaksup' if Pawit Sornlaksup advances against Lleyton Richards. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market's efficiency depends on the number of participants and the information available to them, leading to a dynamic and potentially insightful view of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Nonthaburi tennis match between Lleyton Richards and Pawit Sornlaksup. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive their winnings based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Increased media attention or public discussion surrounding the match could also drive more volume and volatility, leading to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential catalysts for movement in this market.