TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Florent Bax and Moerani Bouzige in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Moerani Bouzige. This market will resolve to 'Moerani Bouzige' if Moerani Bouzige advances against Florent Bax. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Florent Bax and Moerani Bouzige in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Moerani Bouzige. This market will resolve to 'Moerani Bouzige' if Moerani Bouzige advances against Florent Bax. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each source assesses the probabilities of the competitors. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive its price up, indicating a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Florent Bax vs Moerani Bouzige match, as declared by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Florent Bax or Moerani Bouzige, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in rankings, recent performance data, or even weather conditions (if the match is outdoors) could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities as the event approaches.