TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 1:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Arcon and Chen Dong in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Arcon' if Adrian Arcon advances against Chen Dong. This market will resolve to 'Chen Dong' if Chen Dong advances against Adrian Arcon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Arcon and Chen Dong in the M15 Nonthaburi, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Arcon' if Adrian Arcon advances against Chen Dong. This market will resolve to 'Chen Dong' if Chen Dong advances against Adrian Arcon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trading. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader analytics and betting volumes, prediction markets reflect the real-time beliefs and positions of individual traders, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing depending on recent news, player form, or injury updates.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be determined by the official match result, reflecting points earned across all sets. No additional analysis or interpretation is needed — the final score speaks for itself. Traders should watch for any last-minute updates that could shift expectations, but the result hinges purely on the match’s confirmed endpoint.
Injuries, weather delays, or sudden form changes could shift this market as resolution approaches. Media coverage highlighting either player’s preparation or past performance trends may also influence trader sentiment. Betting volume spikes following practice sessions or ranking adjustments often precede price swings. Keep an eye on Polymarket’s order book depth and any surge in $90 — both are reliable indicators of shifting expectations.