TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 7:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tyler Stice and Nazim Makhlouf in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tyler Stice' if Tyler Stice advances against Nazim Makhlouf. This market will resolve to 'Nazim Makhlouf' if Nazim Makhlouf advances against Tyler Stice. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tyler Stice and Nazim Makhlouf in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tyler Stice' if Tyler Stice advances against Nazim Makhlouf. This market will resolve to 'Nazim Makhlouf' if Nazim Makhlouf advances against Tyler Stice. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Stice vs Makhlouf match, the prediction market odds may diverge. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or indicate differing perspectives on the event’s likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Stice vs Makhlouf match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of a specific result, and this is constantly updated based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Stice vs Makhlouf match as reported by the governing body of M15 Monastir. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on the players’ recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity from large traders or groups could create momentum in a particular direction, impacting the odds. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match’s conclusion.