TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 12:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Toby Martin and Maxi Carrascosa Diaz in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toby Martin' if Toby Martin advances against Maxi Carrascosa Diaz. This market will resolve to 'Maxi Carrascosa Diaz' if Maxi Carrascosa Diaz advances against Toby Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Toby Martin and Maxi Carrascosa Diaz in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toby Martin' if Toby Martin advances against Maxi Carrascosa Diaz. This market will resolve to 'Maxi Carrascosa Diaz' if Maxi Carrascosa Diaz advances against Toby Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who have skin in the game. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in the hours leading up to an event.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Toby Martin versus Maxi Carrascosa Diaz match in Monastir, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources as the event approaches to stay informed.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected weather conditions at the Monastir venue could also impact the perceived likelihood of each player winning. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts or updated rankings could sway trader opinion and lead to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential movements in this market.