TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 9:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Takahiro Kubo and Nikola Plavsic in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Takahiro Kubo' if Takahiro Kubo advances against Nikola Plavsic. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Plavsic' if Nikola Plavsic advances against Takahiro Kubo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Takahiro Kubo and Nikola Plavsic in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Takahiro Kubo' if Takahiro Kubo advances against Nikola Plavsic. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Plavsic' if Nikola Plavsic advances against Takahiro Kubo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, access to information, or simply variations in public perception. Comparing the two can reveal where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the probability of a particular outcome in the Kubo vs Plavsic match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kubo vs Plavsic match. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome being correct. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the market's expectations. The current top outcome, as indicated by share price, is the most favored result among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir match between Takahiro Kubo and Nikola Plavsic, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The market will then settle to reflect which outcome – a win for Kubo or a win for Plavsic – actually occurred. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 20, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could all cause the odds to fluctuate. Unexpected announcements about either Takahiro Kubo or Nikola Plavsic's form, fitness, or strategy could also significantly impact trading volume and price. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either player winning the match are likely to be reflected in the market's price action.