TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 3:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sven Corbinais and Dorian Tremblay in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sven Corbinais' if Sven Corbinais advances against Dorian Tremblay. This market will resolve to 'Dorian Tremblay' if Dorian Tremblay advances against Sven Corbinais. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sven Corbinais and Dorian Tremblay in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sven Corbinais' if Sven Corbinais advances against Dorian Tremblay. This market will resolve to 'Dorian Tremblay' if Dorian Tremblay advances against Sven Corbinais. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The volume traded also impacts price discovery, as higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the expressed probability. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Sven Corbinais and Dorian Tremblay. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact the perceived probability of their success. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in collective belief. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to the match's conclusion.