TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 9:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Stevan Popovic and Ahmed Darmoul in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stevan Popovic' if Stevan Popovic advances against Ahmed Darmoul. This market will resolve to 'Ahmed Darmoul' if Ahmed Darmoul advances against Stevan Popovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stevan Popovic and Ahmed Darmoul in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stevan Popovic' if Stevan Popovic advances against Ahmed Darmoul. This market will resolve to 'Ahmed Darmoul' if Ahmed Darmoul advances against Stevan Popovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the market participants. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share, essentially expressing their confidence in a particular result for the Monastir tennis match. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated probability assessment.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Stevan Popovic vs Ahmed Darmoul tennis match in Monastir. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. It’s important to monitor external sources as the event approaches to stay informed about potential factors influencing the resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier matches of the tournament could also impact probabilities, as could analysis from tennis experts suggesting a change in the expected outcome. Significant betting activity on sportsbooks, even without a clear catalyst, might also prompt traders to reassess their positions. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market leading up to Sep 9, 2026.