TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 7:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuel Vincent Ruggeri and Sven Corbinais in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Vincent Ruggeri' if Samuel Vincent Ruggeri advances against Sven Corbinais. This market will resolve to 'Sven Corbinais' if Sven Corbinais advances against Samuel Vincent Ruggeri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuel Vincent Ruggeri and Sven Corbinais in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Vincent Ruggeri' if Samuel Vincent Ruggeri advances against Sven Corbinais. This market will resolve to 'Sven Corbinais' if Sven Corbinais advances against Samuel Vincent Ruggeri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular result. It's also possible that differing information or perspectives are influencing the prediction market, leading to a divergence in odds compared to what you might find at a sportsbook.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating a greater perceived likelihood of that outcome, while selling pressure will lower the price. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Samuel Vincent Ruggeri and Sven Corbinais. The platform will verify the winner through established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also trigger movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role, influencing traders' decisions and affecting the price of shares in this market. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis leading up to Sep 23, 2026.