TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 7:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuel Vincent Ruggeri and Jacopo Bilardo in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Vincent Ruggeri' if Samuel Vincent Ruggeri advances against Jacopo Bilardo. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Bilardo' if Jacopo Bilardo advances against Samuel Vincent Ruggeri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuel Vincent Ruggeri and Jacopo Bilardo in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Vincent Ruggeri' if Samuel Vincent Ruggeri advances against Jacopo Bilardo. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Bilardo' if Jacopo Bilardo advances against Samuel Vincent Ruggeri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and incorporate new information quickly, potentially leading to different probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Samuel Vincent Ruggeri and Jacopo Bilardo, as reported by a widely recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the winner. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could also drive movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news and following expert analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before Sep 25, 2026.