TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 4:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Renaud Lefevre and Gabrielius Guzauskas in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Renaud Lefevre' if Renaud Lefevre advances against Gabrielius Guzauskas. This market will resolve to 'Gabrielius Guzauskas' if Gabrielius Guzauskas advances against Renaud Lefevre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Renaud Lefevre and Gabrielius Guzauskas in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Renaud Lefevre' if Renaud Lefevre advances against Gabrielius Guzauskas. This market will resolve to 'Gabrielius Guzauskas' if Gabrielius Guzauskas advances against Renaud Lefevre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This creates a dynamic pricing system that adjusts in real-time based on collective intelligence and available information.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match, specifically which player ultimately wins. The platform will rely on established tennis authorities and widely available match results to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier matches of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information entering the market, leading to price adjustments. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading patterns will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.