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406,019
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Closed: Sep 15, 11:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Petroski Rocha and Maxi Carrascosa Diaz in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Petroski Rocha' if Pedro Petroski Rocha advances against Maxi Carrascosa Diaz. This market will resolve to 'Maxi Carrascosa Diaz' if Maxi Carrascosa Diaz advances against Pedro Petroski Rocha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Petroski Rocha and Maxi Carrascosa Diaz in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Petroski Rocha' if Pedro Petroski Rocha advances against Maxi Carrascosa Diaz. This market will resolve to 'Maxi Carrascosa Diaz' if Maxi Carrascosa Diaz advances against Pedro Petroski Rocha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of a share directly corresponds to the probability that traders collectively assign to that outcome occurring. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir tennis match between Pedro Petroski Rocha and Maxi Carrascosa Diaz. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome is the winner. The exact timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the speed at which official results are published and verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players' form, fitness, or potential withdrawal from the match could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, as could updates on court surfaces or playing styles. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the players’ chances of winning could impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price.