TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Paul Colin and Toby Martin in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul Colin' if Paul Colin advances against Toby Martin. This market will resolve to 'Toby Martin' if Toby Martin advances against Paul Colin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Paul Colin and Toby Martin in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul Colin' if Paul Colin advances against Toby Martin. This market will resolve to 'Toby Martin' if Toby Martin advances against Paul Colin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to odds that diverge from sportsbook lines if a significant number of participants hold a different view. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized market. Examining these differences can be insightful for informed betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and the platform facilitates this process by matching buyers and sellers. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Paul Colin vs Toby Martin match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Paul Colin vs Toby Martin match as reported by the governing body of the M15 Monastir tournament. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome. It is important to monitor official sources for the definitive result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also impact the market. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis betting or public opinion regarding the players’ chances could drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Major upsets in other matches involving these players leading up to the event might also affect how traders assess their likelihood of success. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.