TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 11:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Brown and Edison Ambarzumjan in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oscar Brown' if Oscar Brown advances against Edison Ambarzumjan. This market will resolve to 'Edison Ambarzumjan' if Edison Ambarzumjan advances against Oscar Brown. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oscar Brown and Edison Ambarzumjan in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oscar Brown' if Oscar Brown advances against Edison Ambarzumjan. This market will resolve to 'Edison Ambarzumjan' if Edison Ambarzumjan advances against Oscar Brown. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, leading to shifts in odds that may not be immediately reflected elsewhere. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the market’s collective probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more volatile the price may become as new information emerges. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, creating a dynamic and responsive price discovery process. The current price indicates the implied probability of a particular outcome, as determined by the traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Oscar Brown and Edison Ambarzumjan, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the official sources for updates as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause traders to reassess their positions. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule or surface conditions could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tennis events might influence overall market sentiment. Monitoring tennis news sources and analyzing player statistics will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift the odds in this market.