TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 6:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN and Jacopo Bilardo in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN' if OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN advances against Jacopo Bilardo. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Bilardo' if Jacopo Bilardo advances against OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN and Jacopo Bilardo in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN' if OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN advances against Jacopo Bilardo. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Bilardo' if Jacopo Bilardo advances against OLUWASEUN PETER OGUNSAKIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the knowledge and insights of a diverse group of traders. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbook odds are often influenced by factors like house bias and public perception. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, especially if they differ significantly from this market. It’s always wise to compare both to identify potential discrepancies and make informed decisions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market’s price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand for these shares, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir tennis match between Oluwaseun Peter Ogunsakin and Jacopo Bilardo. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner of the match, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before its resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event might also impact perceptions of player momentum and influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself could create price movements, reflecting shifts in market sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the perceived probability of each player winning.