TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:42 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Jadoun and Stevan Popovic in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jadoun' if Nicolas Jadoun advances against Stevan Popovic. This market will resolve to 'Stevan Popovic' if Stevan Popovic advances against Nicolas Jadoun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Jadoun and Stevan Popovic in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jadoun' if Nicolas Jadoun advances against Stevan Popovic. This market will resolve to 'Stevan Popovic' if Stevan Popovic advances against Nicolas Jadoun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by traders on Polymarket, may more quickly incorporate new information or differing opinions, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. Comparing the two can reveal where the public consensus differs from professional analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates what the market believes is the probability of a particular result in the Jadoun vs Popovic match.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jadoun vs Popovic match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Nicolas Jadoun or Stevan Popovic, or changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface) could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Significant trading volume on Polymarket itself, driven by informed traders, could also cause noticeable price movements in this market.