TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 8:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Jadoun and Aziz Dougaz in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jadoun' if Nicolas Jadoun advances against Aziz Dougaz. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Dougaz' if Aziz Dougaz advances against Nicolas Jadoun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Jadoun and Aziz Dougaz in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jadoun' if Nicolas Jadoun advances against Aziz Dougaz. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Dougaz' if Aziz Dougaz advances against Nicolas Jadoun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception deviates from expert analysis. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into where the crowd and the professionals disagree regarding the likely outcome of the Jadoun vs Dougaz match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Jadoun vs Dougaz match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jadoun vs Dougaz match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders will then receive their winnings or losses based on the final result and their positions in this market. It’s important to monitor the official results as they become available to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market leading up to Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the players’ strategies or coaching changes might also cause shifts in sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before the Jadoun vs Dougaz match concludes.