TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 9:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nazim Makhlouf and Ali Yazdani in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nazim Makhlouf' if Nazim Makhlouf advances against Ali Yazdani. This market will resolve to 'Ali Yazdani' if Ali Yazdani advances against Nazim Makhlouf. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nazim Makhlouf and Ali Yazdani in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nazim Makhlouf' if Nazim Makhlouf advances against Ali Yazdani. This market will resolve to 'Ali Yazdani' if Ali Yazdani advances against Nazim Makhlouf. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets allow traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market potentially offering odds that differ from those available elsewhere. It’s common to see prediction markets aggregate information from a wider range of sources and expert opinions, potentially resulting in more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Examining these differences can be insightful.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust based on the collective intelligence of traders. Currently, the total volume for this market is $817, indicating the level of interest and activity.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Nazim Makhlouf and Ali Yazdani. Once the official results are available, the market will settle, and shares will be redeemed based on the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be finalized. The outcome will be determined by the official match results.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could trigger price swings. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.