TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nav Dayal and Josh Manuel in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nav Dayal' if Nav Dayal advances against Josh Manuel. This market will resolve to 'Josh Manuel' if Josh Manuel advances against Nav Dayal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nav Dayal and Josh Manuel in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nav Dayal' if Nav Dayal advances against Josh Manuel. This market will resolve to 'Josh Manuel' if Josh Manuel advances against Nav Dayal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information or shifts in sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Nav Dayal and Josh Manuel. The platform will verify the match result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to their shareholdings at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament or shifts in expert analysis could also lead to price adjustments. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news and following expert opinions will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.