TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mustafa Kaan Kose and Alexander Bravo in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mustafa Kaan Kose' if Mustafa Kaan Kose advances against Alexander Bravo. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bravo' if Alexander Bravo advances against Mustafa Kaan Kose. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mustafa Kaan Kose and Alexander Bravo in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mustafa Kaan Kose' if Mustafa Kaan Kose advances against Alexander Bravo. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bravo' if Alexander Bravo advances against Mustafa Kaan Kose. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional methods. However, it's important to remember that both prediction markets and sportsbooks have their strengths and weaknesses, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information and biases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kose vs Bravo match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. This allows for a fluid adjustment of probabilities as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir match between Mustafa Kaan Kose and Alexander Bravo. The platform will verify the winner against established sources for tennis match results, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the likely winner could drive trading activity and alter the market’s price. Monitoring tennis news and analysis leading up to Oct 4, 2026 will be key to understanding potential catalysts for price movement in this market.