TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 6:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Muhammad Shoaib and Ahmed Darmoul in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Muhammad Shoaib' if Muhammad Shoaib advances against Ahmed Darmoul. This market will resolve to 'Ahmed Darmoul' if Ahmed Darmoul advances against Muhammad Shoaib. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Muhammad Shoaib and Ahmed Darmoul in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Muhammad Shoaib' if Muhammad Shoaib advances against Ahmed Darmoul. This market will resolve to 'Ahmed Darmoul' if Ahmed Darmoul advances against Muhammad Shoaib. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and subjective viewpoints. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or even external factors influencing the match. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Muhammad Shoaib and Ahmed Darmoul. The platform will verify the final score and declare a winner, triggering the payout of shares to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament could significantly shift trader sentiment. Real-time updates on player form during the match itself, such as a dominant start by one player, could also lead to rapid price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations and cause the probabilities to adjust accordingly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.