TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mohamed Ali Abibsi and Gryffin Minor in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mohamed Ali Abibsi' if Mohamed Ali Abibsi advances against Gryffin Minor. This market will resolve to 'Gryffin Minor' if Gryffin Minor advances against Mohamed Ali Abibsi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mohamed Ali Abibsi and Gryffin Minor in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mohamed Ali Abibsi' if Mohamed Ali Abibsi advances against Gryffin Minor. This market will resolve to 'Gryffin Minor' if Gryffin Minor advances against Mohamed Ali Abibsi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changes in sentiment and expectations surrounding the Abibsi vs Minor match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir match between Mohamed Ali Abibsi and Gryffin Minor. Any official announcements or results released by the governing body of the event will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to ensure they are informed of any potential changes or delays.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the athletes’ preparation could influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on weather conditions or venue changes could also impact the perceived probabilities. Public statements from analysts or experts offering predictions about the match could also contribute to shifts in the market. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.