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$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 11:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mohamed Ali Abibsi and CHARLES CHEN in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mohamed Ali Abibsi' if Mohamed Ali Abibsi advances against CHARLES CHEN. This market will resolve to 'CHARLES CHEN' if CHARLES CHEN advances against Mohamed Ali Abibsi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mohamed Ali Abibsi and CHARLES CHEN in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mohamed Ali Abibsi' if Mohamed Ali Abibsi advances against CHARLES CHEN. This market will resolve to 'CHARLES CHEN' if CHARLES CHEN advances against Mohamed Ali Abibsi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to differences in probability assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or shifts in sentiment than traditional sportsbooks, offering a dynamic comparison.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Abibsi vs Chen match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is derived from the share price, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring. The market’s price is purely driven by trader activity.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the M15 Monastir tennis match between Mohamed Ali Abibsi and Charles Chen. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results and other publicly available sources to determine the payout of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Mohamed Ali Abibsi or Charles Chen, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, might also affect the market. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Abibsi vs Chen match could lead to significant price movements.