TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
M15 Monastir: Maximilian Alessandro Erhardt vs Dominik Matic
- Polymarket
M15 Monastir: Maximilian Alessandro Erhardt vs Dominik Matic - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 7, 2026
Closed: Sep 7, 2:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maximilian Alessandro Erhardt and Dominik Matic in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Alessandro Erhardt' if Maximilian Alessandro Erhardt advances against Dominik Matic. This market will resolve to 'Dominik Matic' if Dominik Matic advances against Maximilian Alessandro Erhardt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maximilian Alessandro Erhardt and Dominik Matic in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Alessandro Erhardt' if Maximilian Alessandro Erhardt advances against Dominik Matic. This market will resolve to 'Dominik Matic' if Dominik Matic advances against Maximilian Alessandro Erhardt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, as they reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer better value, especially if they are misaligned with the prediction market's assessment. It's often beneficial to compare both to identify potential arbitrage opportunities or simply gain a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome of this market. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and market biases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of a particular player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure on a particular outcome will drive its price up, while increased selling pressure will drive it down. This creates a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of the M15 Monastir tennis match—identifying the winner—will be used to determine the winning share in this market. The platform will verify the result against official tournament data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a shift in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.