TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 1:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matt Mcdowell and Tim Loosen in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matt Mcdowell' if Matt Mcdowell advances against Tim Loosen. This market will resolve to 'Tim Loosen' if Tim Loosen advances against Matt Mcdowell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matt Mcdowell and Tim Loosen in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matt Mcdowell' if Matt Mcdowell advances against Tim Loosen. This market will resolve to 'Tim Loosen' if Tim Loosen advances against Matt Mcdowell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is derived directly from the share price, allowing traders to gauge market sentiment and make informed decisions.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir tennis match between Matt Mcdowell and Tim Loosen. Verification will rely on established tennis authorities and publicly available match data to determine the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics will be key to understanding potential catalysts for price changes in this market.