TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 6:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between LUCCA LIU and Mathieu Scaglia in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'LUCCA LIU' if LUCCA LIU advances against Mathieu Scaglia. This market will resolve to 'Mathieu Scaglia' if Mathieu Scaglia advances against LUCCA LIU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between LUCCA LIU and Mathieu Scaglia in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'LUCCA LIU' if LUCCA LIU advances against Mathieu Scaglia. This market will resolve to 'Mathieu Scaglia' if Mathieu Scaglia advances against LUCCA LIU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. These differences can arise from varying information sources, analytical approaches, or simply differing risk appetites among participants. Examining these contrasts can offer valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of each player winning.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; if many traders believe LUCCA LIU will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between LUCCA LIU and Mathieu Scaglia, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual outcome of the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports for either LUCCA LIU or Mathieu Scaglia, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions at the Monastir tournament could also impact player performance and, consequently, market prices. Furthermore, significant betting activity from well-informed traders or large-scale shifts in public opinion could drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to the match’s conclusion.