TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between LUCCA LIU and Josh Manuel in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'LUCCA LIU' if LUCCA LIU advances against Josh Manuel. This market will resolve to 'Josh Manuel' if Josh Manuel advances against LUCCA LIU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between LUCCA LIU and Josh Manuel in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'LUCCA LIU' if LUCCA LIU advances against Josh Manuel. This market will resolve to 'Josh Manuel' if Josh Manuel advances against LUCCA LIU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that market participants have information or beliefs differing from those factored into the sportsbook's calculations. It’s worth noting that prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate forecasters of event outcomes than traditional methods.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the LUCCA LIU versus Josh Manuel match in Monastir. The platform will utilize publicly available sources to determine the winner, and shares will be settled accordingly. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could influence this market before its resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause price fluctuations. Significant trading volume, indicating a large influx of new information or a change in conviction among traders, is another key signal to watch. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into how the market is likely to evolve.