TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 8:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between LUCCA LIU and Ergi Kirkin in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'LUCCA LIU' if LUCCA LIU advances against Ergi Kirkin. This market will resolve to 'Ergi Kirkin' if Ergi Kirkin advances against LUCCA LIU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between LUCCA LIU and Ergi Kirkin in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'LUCCA LIU' if LUCCA LIU advances against Ergi Kirkin. This market will resolve to 'Ergi Kirkin' if Ergi Kirkin advances against LUCCA LIU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates insights from individuals with varying levels of knowledge and perspectives. Discrepancies can arise due to differing interpretations of available information, or because the prediction market incorporates factors not explicitly considered by sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe LUCCA LIU will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa for Ergi Kirkin. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between LUCCA LIU and Ergi Kirkin, as determined by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 24, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could all lead to price movements. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either LUCCA LIU or Ergi Kirkin could also impact trader confidence and affect the odds. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to drive trading volume and cause the market to adjust accordingly.