TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 12:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Branger and Etienne Donnet in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Branger' if Liam Branger advances against Etienne Donnet. This market will resolve to 'Etienne Donnet' if Etienne Donnet advances against Liam Branger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Branger and Etienne Donnet in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Branger' if Liam Branger advances against Etienne Donnet. This market will resolve to 'Etienne Donnet' if Etienne Donnet advances against Liam Branger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may adjust less quickly to new information or shifts in public sentiment. This market, driven by active traders, can incorporate a wider range of factors and potentially offer more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic process allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing expectations, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Liam Branger and Etienne Donnet. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets, to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament could also alter perceptions of each player’s chances. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader tennis betting sentiment could create momentum and drive price movements in either direction. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.