TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
M15 Monastir: Kristijonas Milasauskas vs Samuel De Felipe Garcia
- Polymarket
M15 Monastir: Kristijonas Milasauskas vs Samuel De Felipe Garcia - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 28, 2026
Closed: Sep 28, 3:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kristijonas Milasauskas and Samuel De Felipe Garcia in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristijonas Milasauskas' if Kristijonas Milasauskas advances against Samuel De Felipe Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Samuel De Felipe Garcia' if Samuel De Felipe Garcia advances against Kristijonas Milasauskas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kristijonas Milasauskas and Samuel De Felipe Garcia in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristijonas Milasauskas' if Kristijonas Milasauskas advances against Samuel De Felipe Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Samuel De Felipe Garcia' if Samuel De Felipe Garcia advances against Kristijonas Milasauskas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the market as new information becomes available. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or shifts in sentiment than sportsbooks, offering a potentially more up-to-date assessment of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The total volume traded provides an indication of the market’s interest and confidence in the various potential results for the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Kristijonas Milasauskas and Samuel De Felipe Garcia. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This process ensures a fair and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even weather forecasts could impact the perceived probabilities of each player winning. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or significant shifts in public sentiment, could also drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants could temporarily move the market, although the overall consensus will likely reassert itself as more information becomes available before Oct 4, 2026.