TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 6:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kasra Rahmani and James Connel in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kasra Rahmani' if Kasra Rahmani advances against James Connel. This market will resolve to 'James Connel' if James Connel advances against Kasra Rahmani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kasra Rahmani and James Connel in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kasra Rahmani' if Kasra Rahmani advances against James Connel. This market will resolve to 'James Connel' if James Connel advances against Kasra Rahmani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and allow participants to hedge their bets. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they diverge significantly from the prediction market price. It's important to compare the probabilities implied by both sources to identify potential discrepancies and make informed decisions. This market, like others, may exhibit differences from sportsbook lines due to varying information and incentives among bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The current top outcome, as determined by trading activity, influences the overall market price and volume.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kasra Rahmani vs James Connel match, as determined by the governing body of M15 Monastir. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either Kasra Rahmani or James Connel could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could trigger price movements, reflecting new information or a change in market outlook. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.