TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 11:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jorge Plans and Mohamed Ali Abibsi in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jorge Plans' if Jorge Plans advances against Mohamed Ali Abibsi. This market will resolve to 'Mohamed Ali Abibsi' if Mohamed Ali Abibsi advances against Jorge Plans. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jorge Plans and Mohamed Ali Abibsi in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jorge Plans' if Jorge Plans advances against Mohamed Ali Abibsi. This market will resolve to 'Mohamed Ali Abibsi' if Mohamed Ali Abibsi advances against Jorge Plans. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting, and discrepancies can arise due to varying information and biases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Jorge Plans vs Mohamed Ali Abibsi match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jorge Plans vs Mohamed Ali Abibsi match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Jorge Plans, a win for Mohamed Ali Abibsi, or a draw – occurred during the match. Traders will then be paid out based on the final result and their holdings in the corresponding shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as weather forecasts or venue changes, might also cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could draw attention to this market and influence trading decisions. Finally, any public statements from analysts or experts offering opinions on the likely outcome of the match could also impact the price of shares.