TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 29, 3:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jaden Weekes and Samuel De Felipe Garcia in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaden Weekes' if Jaden Weekes advances against Samuel De Felipe Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Samuel De Felipe Garcia' if Samuel De Felipe Garcia advances against Jaden Weekes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jaden Weekes and Samuel De Felipe Garcia in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaden Weekes' if Jaden Weekes advances against Samuel De Felipe Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Samuel De Felipe Garcia' if Samuel De Felipe Garcia advances against Jaden Weekes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception deviates from expert analysis. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into where the 'crowd' believes the true probability lies, and whether there's an opportunity for value betting.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir match between Jaden Weekes and Samuel De Felipe Garcia. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Jaden Weekes or Samuel De Felipe Garcia could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion or the emergence of new information about the players' head-to-head records could drive trading activity and alter the implied probabilities reflected in the market.