TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 8:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacopo Bilardo and Jorge Plans in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Bilardo' if Jacopo Bilardo advances against Jorge Plans. This market will resolve to 'Jorge Plans' if Jorge Plans advances against Jacopo Bilardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacopo Bilardo and Jorge Plans in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Bilardo' if Jacopo Bilardo advances against Jorge Plans. This market will resolve to 'Jorge Plans' if Jorge Plans advances against Jacopo Bilardo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders disagree with the sportsbook’s assessment, the odds here will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of volume is traded, as information asymmetry and differing opinions are factored in.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving sentiment and information available to traders.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Bilardo vs Plans match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official tournament results and widely available sources to verify the final score and declare a winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 22, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about either Jacopo Bilardo or Jorge Plans’ fitness levels, or any controversies surrounding the match, would likely have a substantial impact. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could also shift the market’s perception of the likely outcome.