TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Isaac Nortey and Kirils Sokolovs in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isaac Nortey' if Isaac Nortey advances against Kirils Sokolovs. This market will resolve to 'Kirils Sokolovs' if Kirils Sokolovs advances against Isaac Nortey. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Isaac Nortey and Kirils Sokolovs in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isaac Nortey' if Isaac Nortey advances against Kirils Sokolovs. This market will resolve to 'Kirils Sokolovs' if Kirils Sokolovs advances against Isaac Nortey. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and viewpoints not fully captured by sportsbooks, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants on Polymarket regarding the likelihood of each player winning the match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market continuously adapts to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir match between Isaac Nortey and Kirils Sokolovs. The platform will verify the winner through sources like official tournament websites and sports news outlets. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches to understand the potential resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding player injuries or changes in playing conditions for either Isaac Nortey or Kirils Sokolovs would likely have a significant impact. Any updates on their recent performance or training regimes could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location might also cause movement. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, potentially leading to price fluctuations in this market.