TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ewen Lumsden and Jacopo Denitto in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ewen Lumsden' if Ewen Lumsden advances against Jacopo Denitto. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Denitto' if Jacopo Denitto advances against Ewen Lumsden. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ewen Lumsden and Jacopo Denitto in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ewen Lumsden' if Ewen Lumsden advances against Jacopo Denitto. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Denitto' if Jacopo Denitto advances against Ewen Lumsden. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment surrounding the Monastir tennis match. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available to traders.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ewen Lumsden vs Jacopo Denitto match in Monastir, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and the corresponding shares will be settled accordingly. Any potential disputes regarding the official result will be addressed based on the platform’s established procedures for verifying event outcomes.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or even unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could all impact trader sentiment. Significant shifts in public opinion, driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, any updates on the players’ recent performance or head-to-head records are likely to be closely watched by traders and reflected in the market price.