TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 7:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ewen Lumsden and Alexander Watanabe Eriksson in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ewen Lumsden' if Ewen Lumsden advances against Alexander Watanabe Eriksson. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Watanabe Eriksson' if Alexander Watanabe Eriksson advances against Ewen Lumsden. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ewen Lumsden and Alexander Watanabe Eriksson in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ewen Lumsden' if Ewen Lumsden advances against Alexander Watanabe Eriksson. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Watanabe Eriksson' if Alexander Watanabe Eriksson advances against Ewen Lumsden. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher the price, and the greater the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ewen Lumsden vs Alexander Watanabe Eriksson match in Monastir. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. Any potential disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s established procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or even significant shifts in public perception could cause traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term volatility, as the market reacts to new information or significant buying/selling pressure. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market.